ENERGY-TRANS: Regional modeling of the overall energy supply system
- Project team:
Buchgeister, Jens (project leader); Andreas Rieder, Annika Weiss, Holger Maximilian Kleemann
- Funding:
Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres
- Start date:
2011
- End date:
2016
- Project partners:
DLR Institute of Transport Research, Forschungszentrum Jülich Institut für Energie- und Klimaforschung - Systemforschung und Technologische Entwicklung
- Research group:
Project description
Helmholtz Alliance ENERGY-TRANS overview
The Helmholtz Alliance ENERGY-TRANS was a large third-party funded project of ITAS. All ITAS research areas were involved and linked in the Alliance with sub-projects. ENERGY-TRANS research focused on the energy transition and related requirements for the transformation of the energy system. Core assumption of ENERGY-TRANS was that this transformation does not only include technical, but also different societal challenges.
Important issues are, for example, changes in user and consumer behavior, acceptance problems and conflicts relating to new infrastructures such as high-voltage lines, suitable political and economic conditions for initiating and promoting the necessary innovations, adequate operator models for decentralized energy systems, and also handling complex, uncertain and ambiguous risks associated with new energy systems. To meet these challenges, the Helmholtz Alliance has launched a research program that investigated the systemic interactions between technology, organization, and behavior in Germany. The emphasis was on the demand side of energy systems and focused on user needs, integrated scenario building, innovation diffusion, infrastructure planning, and risk governance.
More than 80 social and political scientists, psychologists and philosophers, economists, legal scholars, engineers and systems analysts from nine institutions collaborated in five research fields, 17 projects, two horizontal tasks and two integrative key topics. The KIT coordinated the Alliance which ran from September 2011 until December 2016.
Besides the University of Stuttgart, ITAS provided the largest research contingent and participated in ENERGY-TRANS with about 20 scientists. Corresponding to the complex tasks of ENERGY-TRANS, the Alliance integrated ITAS expertise from all research areas. The highly interdisciplinary research also addressed important issues of the Helmholtz program “Technology, Innovation and Society” (TIS).
Regional modeling
The project starts from model-based trend analyses of the electricity, heat, and mobility systems for determined regions. The selection of regions has taken into consideration that great regional differences exist, e.g., between urban and rural areas with respect to a) prospective changes in electricity supply, heat supply, and mobility supply and to b) the long-term targets of the energy concept of the German government requiring an expansion of renewable energies to which different regions may contribute in very different ways. These differences are also related to population, economic structure, the established structure of the energy supply systems, as well as to mobility patterns and use.
To specify future socio-economic framework conditions for the energy demand on a regional level, a regional input-output model (from Forschungszentrum Jülich) is used in combination with information on demographic change. Based on the integration of different models, the project performs its economic, technological, and environmental analysis. In this context the mobility system is modeled by the Institute of Transport Research of DLR.
Publications
Practical tools for group model building
2016. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016
Misconceptions regarding the self-attenuation of residential energy retrofitting policies? - Validation via disaggregation
2016. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016
The water energy nexus in the urban context. A suggestion for a multi- inter- and transdisciplinary approach for sustainable development
2016. Workshop ’Understanding the Water-Energy-Food Nexus and ist Implication for Governance’, Osnabrück, June 15-16, 2016
New scripts for group building - online questionnaires and open loops
2016. 34th International System Dynamics Society Conference, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016
Practical tools for group model building
2016. 34th International System Dynamics Society Conference, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016
Aspekte einer regionalen Energiewende
2015. Energy Days 2015, Leipzig, February 24-25, 2015
Lecture energy management - From global perspective to applications in industry
2015. Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Hochschule Pforzheim (2015), Pforzheim, Germany, March 24, 2015
Qualitative Faktoren in System Dynamics Modellen, beispielsweise in der energetischen Sanierung von Wohngebäuden
2015. Rahmen eines Expertengespräch zum Thema “Integration qualitativer Faktoren in die Umwelt & Energiemodellierung” im GENO-Haus Stuttgart (2015), Stuttgart, Germany, January 21–22, 2015
Analysis of the development of the retrofitting transition of residential buildings in SW-Thuringia by means of a system dynamics simulation model
2015. 19.Workshop des Student Chapters der Gesellschaft für Energiewissenschaft und Ennergiepolitik (GEE), Stuttgart, 8.Mai 2015
Strom- und Wärmeversorgungsmodell einer ländlichen Region
2015. Energiesysteme 2050, Kick-Off Meeting Forschungsthema 1: Seicher und Netze, Karlsruhe, 24.November 2015
Multi criteria dynamic design optimization of a small scale distributed energy system
2014. Energy, 74, 230–239. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2014.06.007
Projektvorstellung: Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen
2014. 6. Sitzung des Energiebeirats der Regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen (2014), Suhl, Germany, March 7, 2014
Energy Management - From global perspective to applications in industry
2014. Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Hochschule Pforzheim (2014), Pforzheim, Germany, April 1, 2014
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen - Projektvorstellung
2014. Sitzung des Planungsausschusses der Regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen (2014), Hildburghausen, Germany, April 8, 2014
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen
2014. 3.Regionale Energiekonferenz Südwestthüringen, Suhl, 27.November 2014
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen
2014. 24. Sitzung des Planungsausschusses der regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen, Hildburghausen, 8. April 2014
Constructing hybrid scenarios to enhance socio-technical system understanding and to improve coupling the story with quantitative modelling”. An approach applied on two regional energy system case studies
2014. International UCL-CIRED workshop: Innovative techniques for Quantitative SCenarios in ENergyEnvironmental research (IQ SCENE 2014), London, United Kingdom, March 26–27, 2014
Energiesystem-Modell einer Raumordnungsregion
2014. 16. Workshop des Student Chapters, Essen, 23. Mai 2014
Context scenarios. A concept for improving the account of societal uncertainties in energy scenarios and its application in ENERGY-TRANS
2014. IRGC Workshop Energy Transition Scenarios : Improving Methods to Assess Future Energy Demand, Karlsruhe, October 9-10, 2014
Misconceptions of the dynamic nature of building energy retrofitting rates in Germany
2014. 32nd Good Governance in a Complex World - International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (2014), Delft, Netherlands, July 20–24, 2014
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen
2013. GAIA - Ökologische Perspektiven für Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft, 22, 209–210
Dynamische Entwurfsoptimierung eines KWK-Systems. Vergleichende Analyse von thermischen Speichern und Nahwärmeleitung
2013. BWK - Das Energie-Fachmagazin, 65 (10), 7–13
Multi criteria dynamic design optimization of a distributed energy system
2013. Proceedings of the 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, CN, July 16-19, 2013. Ed.: J. Xu, Paper D037
Exergy-based planning and thermography-based monitoring for energy efficient buildings - Progress Report
2013. Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)
Lecture energy management - From global perspective to applications in industry
2013. Vortr.: Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Pforzheim, 15. Oktober 2013
Dynamische Entwurfsoptimierung eines KWK-Systems
2013. Internationalen VDI-Expertenforum “Wie smart managen wir Energie wirklich?” im KIT (2013), Karlsruhe, Germany, March 19–20, 2013
Multi criteria dynamic design optimization of a distributed energy system
2013. 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, China, July 16-19, 2013
Using cross-impact analysis for long-term trends of energy systems
2013. 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, China, July 16-19, 2013
Comparison of sophisticated life cycle impact assessment methods for assessing environmental impacts in a LCA study of electricity production
2012. 25th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization and Simulation of Energy Conversion Systems and Processes (ECOS) - Perugia, Italy, June 26th-June 29th, 2012. Ed.: U. Desideri, Firenze University Press
Bewertung von Umweltwirkungen - Methodischer Rahmen und aktuell diskutierte Vorgehensweisen bei der Ökobilanzierung
2012. Vortr.: VDI Richtlinienausschuss 4601 ’Umweltindikatoren / Ökosystemleistung’, Düsseldorf, 22.Oktober 2012
Comparison of sophisticated life cycle impact assessment methods for assessing environmental impacts in a LCA study of electricity production
2012. ECOS 2012: Advances and Challenges in Nuclear Physics with High Intensity Stable Beams, Perugia, I, June 26-29, 2012
Contact
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis (ITAS)
P.O. Box 3640
76021 Karlsruhe
Germany
Tel.: +49 721 608-26720
E-mail